Lavar Johnson vs Stefan Struve

May 25, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1075
(-24)
Lavar Johnson
Winner: Stefan Struve
Submission
Round 1 • 1:05

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Lavar Johnson-24
Stefan Struve+31
1172
(+31)
Stefan Struve

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -31Stefan Struve: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Total UFC Fights311
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 0731 144
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Stefan Struve's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Lavar Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 096
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -34Stefan Struve: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:051:05
Win Type ELO1 1771 343
ELO Change-34+65
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What Happened

Stefan Struve earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -26Stefan Struve: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Significant Strikes Landed40
Significant Strikes Attempted70
Total Strikes Landed70
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1981 171
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Lavar Johnson controlled the striking through superior accuracy (57.1% vs 0.0%). However, since Lavar Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stefan Struve's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -32Stefan Struve: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:530:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0061 152
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve edged out Lavar Johnson on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -13Stefan Struve: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Days Since Last Fight21101
Activity ELO1 0701 252
ELO Change-13+33
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Lavar Johnson's 21-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -18Stefan Struve: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0301 120
ELO Change-18+24
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What Happened

Stefan Struve extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lavar Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lavar Johnson: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricLavar JohnsonStefan Struve
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0221 096
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.