November 27, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Tae Hyun Bang's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tae Hyun Bang for the expected result. Had Leo Kuntz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 949 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tae Hyun Bang receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 893 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Tae Hyun Bang controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 31 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 34.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tae Hyun Bang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:24 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 815 | 893 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Tae Hyun Bang landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Tae Hyun Bang demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tae Hyun Bang capitalized on this activity level, while Leo Kuntz's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tae Hyun Bang started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leo Kuntz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leo Kuntz | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

