June 11, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 389 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -18 |
Leon Edwards overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Diaz.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 191 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 534 | 1 453 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 433 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Nate Diaz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (130 vs 83 total strikes), superior accuracy (46.9% vs 58.3%). However, since Nate Diaz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Leon Edwards's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:59 | 1:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 516 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Leon Edwards dominated Nate Diaz on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:59 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 588 |
| Activity ELO | 1 430 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -18 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Diaz's 588-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 349 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -11 |
Leon Edwards started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 187 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.