July 17, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 196 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 132 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Leon Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 24 significant strikes, 50.7% vs 30.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Leon Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:03 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Leon Edwards landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -19 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Pawel Pawlak's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Leon Edwards extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pawel Pawlak is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.