March 16, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 103 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 371 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Leon Edwards gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 315 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Leon Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 16 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 37.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Leon Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:21 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 283 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Leon Edwards controlled Peter Sobotta on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:21 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 219 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -12 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Peter Sobotta's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 147 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -16 |
Leon Edwards continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Peter Sobotta's now at 0.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.