July 19, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 28 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 356 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -33 |
Leon Edwards overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 28 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 174 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 492 | 1 471 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 215 | 169 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 129 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 418 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Leon Edwards edged the striking exchanges with 92 vs 81 significant strikes. Leon Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:17 | 2:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 479 | 1 413 |
| ELO Change | +119 | -119 |
Leon Edwards controlled Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:17 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 385 | 1 468 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -31 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 337 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -22 |
Leon Edwards continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rafael Dos Anjos's now at 0.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 170 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.