March 22, 2025
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 428 | 1 452 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +64 |
Sean Brady overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leon Edwards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 347 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 592 | 1 528 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +99 |
Sean Brady earned a finish with a Submission in round 4 at 1:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Leon Edwards was submitted.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 221 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 477 | 1 424 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Sean Brady dominated the striking exchanges with 221 vs 23 total strikes, 57 vs 23 significant strikes. Sean Brady capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 11:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 31 |
| Ground ELO | 1 417 | 1 821 |
| ELO Change | -160 | +160 |
Sean Brady dominated Leon Edwards on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:10 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 445 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +43 |
Sean Brady demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Brady capitalized on this activity level, while Leon Edwards's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 399 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +43 |
Sean Brady extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leon Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 206 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.