April 10, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 898 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -27 |
Leon Edwards overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Seth Baczynski.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:08 | 0:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 175 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +184 | -50 |
Leon Edwards achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:08 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 091 | 817 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -121 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -27 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Seth Baczynski's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Leon Edwards started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Seth Baczynski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.