March 17, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 283 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Leon Edwards earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Leon Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 44 total strikes, 53 vs 24 significant strikes. Leon Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:12 | 5:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Leon Edwards edged out Vicente Luque on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 5:12 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -24 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Vicente Luque's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Leon Edwards extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vicente Luque is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.