December 28, 2012
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 852 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Max Holloway overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leonard Garcia.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 923 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 878 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +4 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Max Holloway receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 120 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 359 | 269 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 797 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Max Holloway controlled the striking exchanges with 122 vs 92 total strikes, 120 vs 89 significant strikes, 44.6% vs 24.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:38 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 708 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Max Holloway did not secure a significant ground advantage against Leonard Garcia on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 205 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 956 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +27 |
Max Holloway demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Leonard Garcia's 205-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 927 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Max Holloway extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonard Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 923 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.