December 3, 2010
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Leonard Garcia's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Leonard Garcia for the expected result. Had Nam Phan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 023 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Leonard Garcia receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 102 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 282 | 227 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Nam Phan controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (116 vs 70 total strikes), significant strike advantage (102 vs 64), superior accuracy (44.9% vs 22.7%). However, since Nam Phan lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Leonard Garcia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 979 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Leonard Garcia edged out Nam Phan on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 173 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Leonard Garcia demonstrated extended layoff with 1173 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Leonard Garcia capitalized on this activity level, while Nam Phan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Leonard Garcia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nam Phan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Nam Phan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.