April 6, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Roger Huerta's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roger Huerta for the expected result. Had Leonard Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Roger Huerta earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 206 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 152 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Roger Huerta dominated the striking exchanges with 152 vs 58 total strikes, 85 vs 29 significant strikes, 41.3% vs 32.6% accuracy. Roger Huerta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:05 | 10:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 49 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Roger Huerta dominated Leonard Garcia on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:08 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +52 |
Roger Huerta demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roger Huerta capitalized on this activity level, while Leonard Garcia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Roger Huerta extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonard Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leonard Garcia | Roger Huerta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

