Leonardo Mafra vs Stevie Ray

July 17, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

953
(-29)
Leonardo Mafra
Winner: Stevie Ray
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Leonardo Mafra-29
Stevie Ray+39
1081
(+39)
Stevie Ray

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -25Stevie Ray: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO9661 088
ELO Change-25+29
💡

What Happened

Stevie Ray overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leonardo Mafra.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -19Stevie Ray: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9661 039
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -32Stevie Ray: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:302:30
Win Type ELO9571 147
ELO Change-32+72
💡

What Happened

Stevie Ray earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -54Stevie Ray: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Significant Strikes Landed2319
Significant Strikes Attempted4041
Total Strikes Landed2419
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8881 128
ELO Change-54+54
💡

What Happened

Leonardo Mafra controlled the striking through superior accuracy (57.5% vs 46.3%). However, since Leonardo Mafra lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stevie Ray's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -42Stevie Ray: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO9361 089
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -20Stevie Ray: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Days Since Last Fight11998
Activity ELO9771 069
ELO Change-20+49
💡

What Happened

Stevie Ray demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stevie Ray capitalized on this activity level, while Leonardo Mafra's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -19Stevie Ray: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9711 045
ELO Change-19+23
💡

What Happened

Stevie Ray extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonardo Mafra is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Mafra: -19Stevie Ray: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo MafraStevie Ray
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9651 039
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.