June 22, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:41 | 0:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Thiago Perpetuo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 897 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Thiago Perpetuo controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 46 total strikes, 68 vs 33 significant strikes, 72.3% vs 40.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Perpetuo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Thiago Perpetuo controlled Leonardo Mafra on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:54 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Thiago Perpetuo demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Thiago Perpetuo capitalized on this activity level, while Leonardo Mafra's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Thiago Perpetuo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonardo Mafra is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Leonardo Mafra | Thiago Perpetuo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

