Leonardo Santos vs Roman Bogatov

July 10, 2020

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1215
(+15)
Leonardo Santos
Winner: Leonardo Santos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Leonardo Santos+15
Roman Bogatov-13
987
(-13)
Roman Bogatov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +16Roman Bogatov: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Total UFC Fights81
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 209984
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Leonardo Santos for the expected result. Had Roman Bogatov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +14Roman Bogatov: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 131986
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +12Roman Bogatov: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 329988
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +9Roman Bogatov: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Significant Strikes Landed6650
Significant Strikes Attempted119117
Total Strikes Landed11681
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 299991
ELO Change+9-9
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 116 vs 81 total strikes, 66 vs 50 significant strikes, 55.5% vs 42.7% accuracy. Leonardo Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +14Roman Bogatov: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted211
Ground Control Time1:346:07
Ground Strikes Landed147
Ground ELO1 266986
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos edged out Roman Bogatov on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:34 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +11Roman Bogatov: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Days Since Last Fight406N/A
Activity ELO1 170988
ELO Change+11-12
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Leonardo Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Bogatov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +29Roman Bogatov: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Win Streak60
Win Streak ELO1 187988
ELO Change+29-12
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What Happened

Leonardo Santos continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Roman Bogatov's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Leonardo Santos: +14Roman Bogatov: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricLeonardo SantosRoman Bogatov
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 131986
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.