May 31, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 193 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -30 |
Leonardo Santos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stevie Ray.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 117 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 317 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -29 |
Leonardo Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 290 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Leonardo Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 2 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Leonardo Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 252 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 966 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -26 |
Leonardo Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 966 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Leonardo Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Stevie Ray's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 158 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -18 |
Leonardo Santos continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Stevie Ray's now at 0.
| Metric | Leonardo Santos | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

