Leslie Smith vs Rin Nakai

March 18, 2016

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1015
(+24)
Leslie Smith
Winner: Leslie Smith
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Leslie Smith+24
Rin Nakai-25
943
(-25)
Rin Nakai

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +30Rin Nakai: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 013938
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Leslie Smith's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Leslie Smith for the expected result. Had Rin Nakai pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +21Rin Nakai: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 000957
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +33Rin Nakai: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 066923
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Leslie Smith earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +27Rin Nakai: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Significant Strikes Landed6231
Significant Strikes Attempted18192
Total Strikes Landed7258
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 043920
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Leslie Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 31 significant strikes. Leslie Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +22Rin Nakai: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted013
Ground Control Time0:025:32
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO965933
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Leslie Smith did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rin Nakai on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +17Rin Nakai: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Days Since Last Fight490547
Activity ELO1 028961
ELO Change+17-19
💡

What Happened

Leslie Smith demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Leslie Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Rin Nakai's 547-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +23Rin Nakai: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 005957
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Leslie Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rin Nakai is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Leslie Smith: +21Rin Nakai: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLeslie SmithRin Nakai
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 000957
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.