July 15, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 195 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Li Jingliang's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Li Jingliang for the expected result. Had Muslim Salikhov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 110 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 458 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -30 |
Li Jingliang gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 367 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Li Jingliang controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 23 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Li Jingliang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 117 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Li Jingliang landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 202 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Li Jingliang demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Li Jingliang capitalized on this activity level, while Muslim Salikhov's 406-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 156 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Li Jingliang started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Muslim Salikhov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Muslim Salikhov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 110 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.