March 6, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 149 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Neil Magny's 8-fight experience advantage (21 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Li Jingliang pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 321 | 1 422 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 123 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 297 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 123 vs 16 total strikes, 74 vs 16 significant strikes, 53.2% vs 25.8% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:39 | 5:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Neil Magny controlled Li Jingliang on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 5:06 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 476 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 422 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +7 |
Neil Magny demonstrated extended layoff with 476 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Li Jingliang's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 125 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Li Jingliang is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

