January 15, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 191 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Li Jingliang's 2-fight experience advantage (14 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Li Jingliang for the expected result. Had Santiago Ponzinibbio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 458 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | +137 | -64 |
Li Jingliang earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 451 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Li Jingliang controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 11 significant strikes, 42.0% vs 61.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Li Jingliang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 237 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 791 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Li Jingliang demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Li Jingliang capitalized on this activity level, while Santiago Ponzinibbio's 791-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 157 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -29 |
Li Jingliang started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Santiago Ponzinibbio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

