November 24, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Li Jingliang's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Li Jingliang for the expected result. Had Zak Ottow pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 072 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -23 |
Li Jingliang earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 235 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Li Jingliang controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 5 total strikes, 26 vs 5 significant strikes, 52.0% vs 29.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Li Jingliang capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Li Jingliang landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -19 |
Li Jingliang demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Li Jingliang capitalized on this activity level, while Zak Ottow's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -19 |
Li Jingliang extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zak Ottow is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Li Jingliang | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.