January 24, 2020
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Sara McMann's 3-fight experience advantage (11 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sara McMann for the expected result. Had Lina Lansberg pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 034 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Sara McMann earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 928 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Sara McMann controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 36 total strikes, 38 vs 1 significant strikes, 76.0% vs 20.0% accuracy. Sara McMann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 13:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 36 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Sara McMann dominated Lina Lansberg on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:24 of control time, 36 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 700 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +20 |
Sara McMann demonstrated extended layoff with 700 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sara McMann capitalized on this activity level, while Lina Lansberg's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 015 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Sara McMann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lina Lansberg is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.