May 31, 2019
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Lina Lansberg's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lina Lansberg for the expected result. Had Tonya Evinger pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Lina Lansberg earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 151 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 828 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Lina Lansberg dominated the striking exchanges with 151 vs 68 total strikes, 50 vs 6 significant strikes, 73.5% vs 54.5% accuracy. Lina Lansberg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:58 | 5:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 42 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 852 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Lina Lansberg controlled Tonya Evinger on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:58 of control time, 42 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Lina Lansberg demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lina Lansberg capitalized on this activity level, while Tonya Evinger's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Lina Lansberg started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tonya Evinger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lina Lansberg | Tonya Evinger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.