Livinha Souza vs Randa Markos

October 22, 2021

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

952
(-42)
Livinha Souza
Winner: Randa Markos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Livinha Souza-42
Randa Markos+45
957
(+45)
Randa Markos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -47Randa Markos: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Total UFC Fights618
Experience Gap-1212
Experience ELO952857
ELO Change-47+47
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos's 12-fight experience advantage (18 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randa Markos for the expected result. Had Livinha Souza pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -26Randa Markos: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO986962
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -53Randa Markos: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO967976
ELO Change-53+53
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What Happened

Randa Markos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -45Randa Markos: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Significant Strikes Landed1165
Significant Strikes Attempted2796
Total Strikes Landed51159
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO784968
ELO Change-45+45
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What Happened

Randa Markos dominated the striking exchanges with 159 vs 51 total strikes, 65 vs 11 significant strikes, 67.7% vs 40.7% accuracy. Randa Markos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -92Randa Markos: +92

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted60
Ground Control Time3:318:47
Ground Strikes Landed216
Ground ELO939926
ELO Change-92+92
💡

What Happened

Randa Markos controlled Livinha Souza on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8:47 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -23Randa Markos: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Days Since Last Fight231175
Activity ELO1 0061 034
ELO Change-23+41
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What Happened

Randa Markos demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randa Markos capitalized on this activity level, while Livinha Souza's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -26Randa Markos: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO993970
ELO Change-26+28
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What Happened

Randa Markos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Livinha Souza is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Livinha Souza: -26Randa Markos: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricLivinha SouzaRanda Markos
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO986959
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.