February 1, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Livinha Souza receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Sarah Frota controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 23). However, since Sarah Frota lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Livinha Souza's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:42 | 4:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Livinha Souza edged out Sarah Frota on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:42 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Livinha Souza demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Livinha Souza capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Frota's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Livinha Souza extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Frota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Livinha Souza | Sarah Frota |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.