February 22, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Liz Carmouche's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Liz Carmouche for the expected result. Had Lucie Pudilova pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 028 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Liz Carmouche earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Lucie Pudilova controlled the striking through superior volume (57 vs 40 total strikes), significant strike advantage (33 vs 14), superior accuracy (31.4% vs 48.3%). However, since Lucie Pudilova lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Liz Carmouche's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:58 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 114 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Liz Carmouche edged out Lucie Pudilova on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:58 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Liz Carmouche demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Liz Carmouche capitalized on this activity level, while Lucie Pudilova's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Liz Carmouche extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lucie Pudilova is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Lucie Pudilova |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.