August 9, 2019
UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 036 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +35 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Valentina Shevchenko captured the UFC Women's Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Valentina Shevchenko earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 115 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 072 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 132 total strikes, 42 vs 18 significant strikes, 36.5% vs 23.7% accuracy. Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 7:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 1 393 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Valentina Shevchenko controlled Liz Carmouche on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 7:50 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +45 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Liz Carmouche's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Valentina Shevchenko extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liz Carmouche is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Liz Carmouche | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.