June 23, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +86 |
Mateusz Rebecki gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 886 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -135 | +135 |
Mateusz Rebecki dominated the striking exchanges with 64 vs 19 total strikes, 54 vs 19 significant strikes, 56.8% vs 35.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Mateusz Rebecki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 1:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Mateusz Rebecki slightly outworked Loik Radzhabov on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Mateusz Rebecki demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Rebecki capitalized on this activity level, while Loik Radzhabov's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Mateusz Rebecki extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Loik Radzhabov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Loik Radzhabov | Mateusz Rebecki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

