Loik Radzhabov vs Trey Ogden

July 19, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1007
(-34)
Loik Radzhabov
Winner: Trey Ogden
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Loik Radzhabov-34
Trey Ogden+38
1058
(+38)
Trey Ogden

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -33Trey Ogden: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Total UFC Fights46
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9991 044
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Trey Ogden's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Trey Ogden for the expected result. Had Loik Radzhabov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -22Trey Ogden: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 024
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -47Trey Ogden: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0371 093
ELO Change-47+47
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What Happened

Trey Ogden earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -23Trey Ogden: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Significant Strikes Landed4224
Significant Strikes Attempted8647
Total Strikes Landed97116
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9761 029
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Loik Radzhabov controlled the striking through superior volume (97 vs 116 total strikes), significant strike advantage (42 vs 24). However, since Loik Radzhabov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Trey Ogden's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -76Trey Ogden: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time1:369:47
Ground Strikes Landed181
Ground ELO1 0401 122
ELO Change-76+76
💡

What Happened

Trey Ogden controlled Loik Radzhabov on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:47 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -20Trey Ogden: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Days Since Last Fight140119
Activity ELO1 0061 090
ELO Change-20+51
💡

What Happened

Trey Ogden demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trey Ogden capitalized on this activity level, while Loik Radzhabov's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -22Trey Ogden: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0031 034
ELO Change-22+27
💡

What Happened

Trey Ogden extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Loik Radzhabov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Loik Radzhabov: -22Trey Ogden: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLoik RadzhabovTrey Ogden
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9991 024
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.