Loopy Godinez vs Mackenzie Dern

August 2, 2024

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1106
(-31)
Loopy Godinez
Winner: Mackenzie Dern
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Loopy Godinez-31
Mackenzie Dern+33
1126
(+33)
Mackenzie Dern

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -31Mackenzie Dern: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Total UFC Fights1214
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0811 152
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern's 2-fight experience advantage (14 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mackenzie Dern for the expected result. Had Loopy Godinez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -22Mackenzie Dern: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0371 070
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -37Mackenzie Dern: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0801 195
ELO Change-37+37
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -41Mackenzie Dern: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Significant Strikes Landed6772
Significant Strikes Attempted146203
Total Strikes Landed72103
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 094969
ELO Change-41+41
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern controlled the striking exchanges with 103 vs 72 total strikes, 72 vs 67 significant strikes, 35.5% vs 45.9% accuracy. Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -41Mackenzie Dern: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted35
Ground Control Time1:412:45
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1971 232
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Mackenzie Dern edged out Loopy Godinez on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:45 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -27Mackenzie Dern: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Days Since Last Fight126168
Activity ELO1 2581 222
ELO Change-27+48
💡

What Happened

Mackenzie Dern demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mackenzie Dern capitalized on this activity level, while Loopy Godinez's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -22Mackenzie Dern: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0671 100
ELO Change-22+24
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What Happened

Mackenzie Dern started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Loopy Godinez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Loopy Godinez: -22Mackenzie Dern: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLoopy GodinezMackenzie Dern
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0361 066
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.