Lorenz Larkin vs Neil Magny

August 19, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1159
(+78)
Lorenz Larkin
Winner: Lorenz Larkin
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:08

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Lorenz Larkin+78
Neil Magny-58
1244
(-58)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +60Neil Magny: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights1015
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 1301 184
ELO Change+60-45
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +29Neil Magny: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0431 123
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +140Neil Magny: -65

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:084:08
Win Type ELO1 3241 335
ELO Change+140-65
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +180Neil Magny: -180

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed328
Significant Strikes Attempted4823
Total Strikes Landed3413
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3521 208
ELO Change+180-180
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 13 total strikes, 32 vs 8 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lorenz Larkin capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +41Neil Magny: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:580:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0861 373
ELO Change+41-41
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Neil Magny on the ground with 0:58 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +110Neil Magny: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight83154
Activity ELO1 2231 407
ELO Change+110-37
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 83 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Lorenz Larkin capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +38Neil Magny: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0711 202
ELO Change+38-32
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What Happened

Lorenz Larkin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lorenz Larkin: +29Neil Magny: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricLorenz LarkinNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0421 123
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.