August 19, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -45 |
Lorenz Larkin overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:08 | 4:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 324 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +140 | -65 |
Lorenz Larkin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 352 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +180 | -180 |
Lorenz Larkin controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 13 total strikes, 32 vs 8 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lorenz Larkin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 373 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Lorenz Larkin did not secure a significant ground advantage against Neil Magny on the ground with 0:58 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 83 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 223 | 1 407 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -37 |
Lorenz Larkin demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 83 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Lorenz Larkin capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -32 |
Lorenz Larkin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Neil Magny is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lorenz Larkin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

