September 16, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Trevin Giles's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Trevin Giles for the expected result. Had Louis Cosce pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 931 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Trevin Giles earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Trevin Giles controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 21 total strikes, 25 vs 10 significant strikes, 54.3% vs 26.3% accuracy. Trevin Giles capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:36 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Trevin Giles edged out Louis Cosce on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:09 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 665 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 963 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Trevin Giles demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Trevin Giles capitalized on this activity level, while Louis Cosce's 665-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Trevin Giles started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Louis Cosce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Louis Cosce | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

