November 6, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:18 | 0:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 111 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -39 |
Louis Smolka gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 142 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Richie Vaculik controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (74 vs 67). However, since Richie Vaculik lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Louis Smolka's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Louis Smolka landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Louis Smolka demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Louis Smolka capitalized on this activity level, while Richie Vaculik's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Louis Smolka started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richie Vaculik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Louis Smolka | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.