May 17, 2025
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Tecia Pennington's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tecia Pennington for the expected result. Had Luana Pinheiro pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Tecia Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 921 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Tecia Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 46 total strikes, 63 vs 40 significant strikes, 49.6% vs 36.4% accuracy. Tecia Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Tecia Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Luana Pinheiro on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +17 |
Tecia Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tecia Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Pinheiro's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 994 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Tecia Pennington extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Pinheiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luana Pinheiro | Tecia Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

