Luana Pinheiro vs Tecia Pennington

May 17, 2025

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-17)
Luana Pinheiro
Winner: Tecia Pennington
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Luana Pinheiro-17
Tecia Pennington+18
1126
(+18)
Tecia Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -26Tecia Pennington: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Total UFC Fights718
Experience Gap-1111
Experience ELO1 0111 121
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tecia Pennington for the expected result. Had Luana Pinheiro pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -17Tecia Pennington: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9781 078
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -21Tecia Pennington: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9601 198
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -17Tecia Pennington: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed4063
Significant Strikes Attempted110127
Total Strikes Landed4678
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9211 151
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 46 total strikes, 63 vs 40 significant strikes, 49.6% vs 36.4% accuracy. Tecia Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -12Tecia Pennington: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted102
Ground Control Time1:420:44
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9221 114
ELO Change-12+12
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington did not secure a significant ground advantage against Luana Pinheiro on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -14Tecia Pennington: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Days Since Last Fight189224
Activity ELO1 0101 170
ELO Change-14+17
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tecia Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Luana Pinheiro's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -16Tecia Pennington: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9941 107
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Tecia Pennington extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luana Pinheiro is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Pinheiro: -18Tecia Pennington: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana PinheiroTecia Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9761 069
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.