July 12, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Luana Santos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mariya Agapova.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:27 | 3:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 180 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -26 |
Luana Santos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Mariya Agapova controlled the striking through superior accuracy (21.4% vs 50.0%). However, since Mariya Agapova lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Luana Santos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:23 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 812 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Luana Santos controlled Mariya Agapova on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:23 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 665 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Luana Santos demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Luana Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Mariya Agapova's 665-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Luana Santos extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mariya Agapova is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luana Santos | Mariya Agapova |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.