Luana Santos vs Melissa Croden

December 13, 2025

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1142
(+24)
Luana Santos
Winner: Luana Santos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Luana Santos+24
Melissa Croden-23
1031
(-23)
Melissa Croden

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +28Melissa Croden: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 1481 055
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Luana Santos's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Luana Santos for the expected result. Had Melissa Croden pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +19Melissa Croden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0751 003
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +31Melissa Croden: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2201 067
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Luana Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +26Melissa Croden: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Significant Strikes Landed1222
Significant Strikes Attempted2474
Total Strikes Landed9356
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1571 084
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Luana Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 56 total strikes, 12 vs 22 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 29.7% accuracy. Luana Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +31Melissa Croden: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted71
Ground Control Time9:210:44
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2541 020
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Luana Santos controlled Melissa Croden on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:21 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +21Melissa Croden: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Days Since Last Fight21056
Activity ELO1 1171 006
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Luana Santos demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Luana Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Melissa Croden's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +22Melissa Croden: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0911 007
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Luana Santos extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melissa Croden is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luana Santos: +19Melissa Croden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricLuana SantosMelissa Croden
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0751 003
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.