March 24, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -31 |
Lucas Alexander overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Steven Peterson.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 025 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Lucas Alexander earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 158 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 056 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Lucas Alexander dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 27 total strikes, 85 vs 26 significant strikes, 53.8% vs 25.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lucas Alexander capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 991 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Lucas Alexander landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 413 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -25 |
Lucas Alexander demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lucas Alexander capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Peterson's 413-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Lucas Alexander started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Peterson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lucas Alexander | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.