June 14, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Lucas Almeida's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lucas Almeida for the expected result. Had Timmy Cuamba pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Lucas Almeida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 196 | 116 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Lucas Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 59 significant strikes, 35.7% vs 50.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lucas Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 2:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Lucas Almeida landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Lucas Almeida demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Lucas Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Timmy Cuamba's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Lucas Almeida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Timmy Cuamba is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lucas Almeida | Timmy Cuamba |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.