August 15, 2026
Light Heavyweight Bout
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| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 905 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:10 | 1:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 072 | 912 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -36 |
Lucas Fernando gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 134 | 809 |
| ELO Change | +134 | -134 |
Lucas Fernando dominated the striking exchanges with 69 vs 14 total strikes, 69 vs 13 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 23.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Lucas Fernando capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Lucas Fernando did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rafael Tobias on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Lucas Fernando demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Lucas Fernando capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Tobias's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Lucas Fernando started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Tobias is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lucas Fernando | Rafael Tobias |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.