September 3, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Lucas Martins's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lucas Martins for the expected result. Had Ramiro Hernandez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:10 | 1:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -35 |
Lucas Martins earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Lucas Martins controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 4 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Lucas Martins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 089 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 109 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -19 |
Lucas Martins demonstrated solid activity levels with 109 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lucas Martins capitalized on this activity level, while Ramiro Hernandez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Lucas Martins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ramiro Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lucas Martins | Ramiro Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

