Lucas Rocha vs Stewart Nicoll

October 11, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

999
(+37)
Lucas Rocha
Winner: Lucas Rocha
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Lucas Rocha+37
Stewart Nicoll-36
939
(-36)
Stewart Nicoll

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +31Stewart Nicoll: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 005950
ELO Change+31-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +21Stewart Nicoll: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 001959
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +42Stewart Nicoll: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 008927
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Lucas Rocha earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +50Stewart Nicoll: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Significant Strikes Landed11545
Significant Strikes Attempted226138
Total Strikes Landed13046
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 016931
ELO Change+50-50
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What Happened

Lucas Rocha dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 46 total strikes, 115 vs 45 significant strikes, 50.9% vs 32.6% accuracy. Lucas Rocha capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +89Stewart Nicoll: -89

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Takedowns Landed32
Takedowns Attempted420
Ground Control Time1:251:30
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO955866
ELO Change+89-89
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What Happened

Lucas Rocha controlled Stewart Nicoll on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 1:25 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +21Stewart Nicoll: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Days Since Last Fight364421
Activity ELO1 001960
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Lucas Rocha demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Lucas Rocha capitalized on this activity level, while Stewart Nicoll's 421-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +23Stewart Nicoll: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 003960
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Lucas Rocha started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stewart Nicoll is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Lucas Rocha: +21Stewart Nicoll: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLucas RochaStewart Nicoll
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001959
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.