Luis Gurule vs Ode Osbourne

April 5, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

956
(-44)
Luis Gurule
Winner: Ode Osbourne
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Luis Gurule-44
Ode Osbourne+51
968
(+51)
Ode Osbourne

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -39Ode Osbourne: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Total UFC Fights111
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO961954
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ode Osbourne for the expected result. Had Luis Gurule pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -24Ode Osbourne: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO976982
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -45Ode Osbourne: +93

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:541:54
Win Type ELO9551 066
ELO Change-45+93
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -132Ode Osbourne: +132

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Significant Strikes Landed1218
Significant Strikes Attempted3443
Total Strikes Landed2622
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO868953
ELO Change-132+132
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 12 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ode Osbourne capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -45Ode Osbourne: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time2:170:07
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO955787
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -21Ode Osbourne: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Days Since Last FightN/A204
Activity ELO9791 028
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ode Osbourne capitalized on this activity level, while Luis Gurule's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -23Ode Osbourne: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO977992
ELO Change-23+25
💡

What Happened

Ode Osbourne started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luis Gurule is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Gurule: -24Ode Osbourne: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis GuruleOde Osbourne
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO976982
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.