March 3, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:46 | 3:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +92 |
Marcin Tybura gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 144 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Marcin Tybura dominated the striking exchanges with 144 vs 59 total strikes, 50 vs 14 significant strikes, 75.8% vs 56.0% accuracy. Marcin Tybura capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:23 | 2:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Marcin Tybura edged out Luis Henrique on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:53 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Luis Henrique's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Marcin Tybura extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luis Henrique is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luis Henrique | Marcin Tybura |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.