November 9, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 057 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michael Trizano receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Michael Trizano controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 34 total strikes, 51 vs 23 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 27.1% accuracy. Michael Trizano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:26 | 2:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 006 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Michael Trizano edged out Luis Pena on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:14 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | 128 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Michael Trizano demonstrated solid activity levels with 128 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Trizano capitalized on this activity level, while Luis Pena's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Michael Trizano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luis Pena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Michael Trizano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.