Luis Pena vs Richie Smullen

July 5, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+36)
Luis Pena
Winner: Luis Pena
Submission
Round 1 • 3:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Luis Pena+36
Richie Smullen-32
968
(-32)
Richie Smullen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +21Richie Smullen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +21Richie Smullen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +69Richie Smullen: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:323:32
Win Type ELO1 069958
ELO Change+69-42
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What Happened

Luis Pena earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +54Richie Smullen: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Significant Strikes Landed87
Significant Strikes Attempted239
Total Strikes Landed815
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 054946
ELO Change+54-54
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What Happened

Luis Pena controlled the striking exchanges with 34.8% vs 77.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luis Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +55Richie Smullen: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time1:011:40
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 055945
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Luis Pena controlled Richie Smullen on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:01 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +21Richie Smullen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Luis Pena demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Luis Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Richie Smullen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +23Richie Smullen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Luis Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richie Smullen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luis Pena: +21Richie Smullen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricLuis PenaRichie Smullen
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.