July 5, 2018
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:32 | 3:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -42 |
Luis Pena earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Luis Pena controlled the striking exchanges with 34.8% vs 77.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Luis Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Luis Pena controlled Richie Smullen on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:01 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Luis Pena demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Luis Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Richie Smullen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Luis Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richie Smullen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

