March 22, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 088 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Luis Pena earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Luis Pena controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 34 significant strikes. Luis Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:48 | 5:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 043 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Luis Pena edged out Steven Peterson on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:48 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 261 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -22 |
Luis Pena demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Luis Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Peterson's 261-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Luis Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Peterson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luis Pena | Steven Peterson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.