June 21, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Matt Brown's 11-fight experience advantage (13 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Luis Ramos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 941 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +35 |
Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 882 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 26 total strikes, 52 vs 20 significant strikes, 59.1% vs 32.8% accuracy. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:44 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Matt Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Luis Ramos on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 300 | 62 |
| Activity ELO | 968 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +33 |
Matt Brown demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 62 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Luis Ramos's 300-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Matt Brown extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luis Ramos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luis Ramos | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

