Luiz Cane vs Rogerio Nogueira

November 20, 2009

Light Heavyweight Bout

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1058
(-61)
Luiz Cane
Winner: Rogerio Nogueira
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:56

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Luiz Cane-61
Rogerio Nogueira+74
1074
(+74)
Rogerio Nogueira

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -87Rogerio Nogueira: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO9901 087
ELO Change-87+87
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What Happened

Rogerio Nogueira overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Luiz Cane.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -24Rogerio Nogueira: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0211 024
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -66Rogerio Nogueira: +158

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:561:56
Win Type ELO1 1571 158
ELO Change-66+158
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What Happened

Rogerio Nogueira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -214Rogerio Nogueira: +214

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Significant Strikes Landed314
Significant Strikes Attempted1428
Total Strikes Landed315
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0781 214
ELO Change-214+214
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What Happened

Rogerio Nogueira controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 3 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 21.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -28Rogerio Nogueira: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0911 028
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -27Rogerio Nogueira: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Days Since Last Fight218N/A
Activity ELO1 0681 027
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Rogerio Nogueira demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this activity level, while Luiz Cane's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -24Rogerio Nogueira: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0341 027
ELO Change-24+27
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What Happened

Rogerio Nogueira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luiz Cane is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Cane: -24Rogerio Nogueira: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz CaneRogerio Nogueira
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0211 024
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.