November 20, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Rogerio Nogueira overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Luiz Cane.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +158 |
Rogerio Nogueira earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -214 | +214 |
Rogerio Nogueira controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 3 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 21.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 091 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 068 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rogerio Nogueira demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rogerio Nogueira capitalized on this activity level, while Luiz Cane's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Rogerio Nogueira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luiz Cane is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luiz Cane | Rogerio Nogueira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

