Luiz Dutra vs Tom Breese

May 29, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

940
(-39)
Luiz Dutra
Winner: Tom Breese
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:58

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Luiz Dutra-39
Tom Breese+45
1045
(+45)
Tom Breese

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -61Tom Breese: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9181 061
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -20Tom Breese: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9591 020
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -40Tom Breese: +86

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:584:58
Win Type ELO9451 086
ELO Change-40+86
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -81Tom Breese: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Significant Strikes Landed2126
Significant Strikes Attempted4342
Total Strikes Landed2826
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8961 081
ELO Change-81+81
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 21 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 48.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Breese capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -49Tom Breese: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:450:58
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO9281 049
ELO Change-49+49
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -20Tom Breese: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Days Since Last Fight511N/A
Activity ELO9591 020
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Breese capitalized on this activity level, while Luiz Dutra's 511-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -20Tom Breese: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9591 022
ELO Change-20+22
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luiz Dutra is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Luiz Dutra: -20Tom Breese: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricLuiz DutraTom Breese
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9591 020
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.