May 29, 2015
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 918 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 945 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +86 |
Tom Breese earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Tom Breese controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 21 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 48.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Breese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 928 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Tom Breese landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 511 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Tom Breese demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Breese capitalized on this activity level, while Luiz Dutra's 511-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Tom Breese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luiz Dutra is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Luiz Dutra | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

