July 26, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 941 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +58 |
Mick Parkin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 914 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Mick Parkin controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 24 significant strikes, 65.4% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mick Parkin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 880 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Mick Parkin demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mick Parkin capitalized on this activity level, while Lukasz Brzeski's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +22 |
Mick Parkin extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lukasz Brzeski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Lukasz Brzeski | Mick Parkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 968 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

